Sunday 28 February 2010

SNP POLLING ANALYSIS




SNP POLLING ANALYSIS

6 POINTS BOOST OVER THE WEEK SHOWS SNP ON FRONT FOOT

The Scottish National Party published an analysis of the Scottish samples
of YouGov voting intentions for the General Election over the course of
the last week, which shows a strong recovery in the SNP vote of 6 points:

Poll in Sunday Times, 22 February, sampled 18/19 February, Scottish sample
139
SNP: 18%
Lab: 45%
Con: 22%
Lib Dem: 11%

Poll in Sun, 23 February, sampled 21/22 February, Scottish sample 149
SNP: 20%
Lab: 39%
Con: 17%
Lib Dem: 18%

Poll in Sun, 24 February, sampled 22/23 February, Scottish sample 132
SNP: 22%
Lab: 44%
Con: 17%
Lib Dem: 12%

Poll in Sun, 25 February, sampled 23/24 February, Scottish sample 118
SNP: 20%
Lab: 43%
Con: 19%
Lib Dem: 15%

Poll in Sun, 26 February, sampled 24/25 February, Scottish sample 195
SNP: 24%
Lab: 41%
Con: 16%
Lib Dem: 15%

CHANGES IN VOTING INTENTIONS OVER THE WEEK

SNP: increased by 6 points from 18% to 24%
Labour: decreased by 4 points from 45% to 41%
Tory: decreased by 6 points from 22% to 16%
Lib Dem: increased by 4 points from 11% to 15%

An SNP spokesperson said:

“Given the events that took place, we have very closely analysed the
polling figures over the course of the last week, and the political
temperature has clearly changed in our favour.

“Labour obviously hoped to tie us down for months in negative headlines
with their orchestrated complaints to the Standards Commissioner – a
campaign which totally flopped with Commissioner completely dismissing the
complaints before they got to first base. And Nicola Sturgeon resolved
the opposition attacks over her constituency issue with a hugely
impressive performance.

“We regained the initiative over the course of the week with the
publication of the draft Referendum Bill, and SNP support increased
strongly by 6 points.

“We have disposed of the negative issues, accentuated the positive with
the draft Referendum Bill launch, and are now clearly on the front foot as
we approach the General Election campaign.”

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